Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres will look to Jackson Merrill for continued offensive production when they take on Jesus Sanchez and the Miami Marlins on Sunday. The favored Padres have -203 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +167. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at -120 odds). The matchup's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Marlins 46%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 70 times and won 41, or 58.6%, of those games.
• San Diego has entered seven games this season favored by -203 or more and is 4-3 in those contests.
• The Padres have a 67% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have come away with 39 wins in the 102 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win nine times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 37.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SD 6 · MIA 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-204

O 7.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+168

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 8-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 19 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• Profar's home runs rank him 35th in MLB, and he is 19th in RBI.
• Profar carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .294 with three doubles and two walks.
• Merrill is hitting .294 with 19 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 21 walks.
• Of all major league hitters, Merrill is 56th in homers and 35th in RBI.
• Merrill carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .389 with three doubles, a triple, five home runs, four walks and 12 RBI.
• Manny Machado is hitting .271 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
• Machado has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run and seven RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .302 batting average leads his team.
• Arraez has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .231 with a double and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger leads the Marlins in home runs (21), runs batted in (51) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .245.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Burger is 24th in homers and 80th in RBI.
• Burger has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, four home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Sanchez is batting .239 with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Sanchez ranks 102nd in homers and 116th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .360 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 20 walks.
• Otto Lopez is batting .229 with nine doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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