Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 22

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 22

Updated Aug. 22, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will play Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as +148 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-175). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The San Diego Padres will give the start to Blake Snell (10-8, 2.71 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Jesus Luzardo (8-8, 4.13 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, August 22, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -175 +148 7.5 -113 -108 -1.5 +118 -140

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Marlins 44%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 96 times and won 50, or 52.1%, of those games.
  • This season San Diego has won 20 of its 37 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Marlins have been victorious in 28, or 42.4%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won six of 18 games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 4-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.2

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Padres Player Insights

  • Soto is the Padres best power option, launching 24 homers this season in addition to delivering 75 RBI, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks 20th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Tatis is 43rd in homers and 49th in RBI in the majors.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-best batting average of .280.
  • Manny Machado has hit 24 home runs to lead his team.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+250)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+225)
Gary Sánchez 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 13
ERA 5.07
K/9 8.7

Marlins Player Insights

  • Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .358.
  • In all of the big leagues, Arraez is 276th in homers and 77th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 32 home runs and 67 RBI.
  • Soler is seventh in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .245 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .257 with 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+240)
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+295)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+240)
Jon Berti 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+340)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+300)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Padres vs Marlins!

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