Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins will play on Friday at LoanDepot park, at 7:10 PM ET, with Jurickson Profar and Jake Burger among those expected to produce at the plate. Bookmakers list the Padres as -137 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +116 moneyline odds. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 9, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -137 +116 8 -118 -103 -1.5 +120 -143

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Marlins 47%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 68 times and won 39, or 57.4%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 24-16 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Marlins have come away with 39 wins in the 100 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win 28 times in 76 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
SD 6 ยท MIA 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Miami Marlins
MIA

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 7-1 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.6
HR 16
ERA 3.66
K/9 11.6

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar leads the Padres in home runs (19) and runs batted in (71).
  • Among all batters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 29th, and his RBI tally puts him 18th.
  • Luis Arraez has a club-leading .303 batting average.
  • Arraez ranks 310th in home runs and 209th in RBI on the year.
  • Manny Machado has 20 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .270.
  • Machado has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is hitting .289 with 19 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 19 walks.
  • Merrill has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .412 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+170)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+195)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1600) 0.5 (+215)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+140)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 5.22
K/9 9.6

Marlins Player Insights

  • Burger leads the Marlins with 19 home runs and 49 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .240.
  • Burger ranks 29th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .235.
  • Sanchez is 98th in home runs and 124th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Xavier Edwards is hitting .375 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 18 walks.
  • Otto Lopez is batting .225 with eight doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Otto Lopez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+185)
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+1500) 0.5 (+260)
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 (-225) 1.5 () 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+180)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+135)
Jonah Bride 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+215)

Padres vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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