Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 27

Updated May. 27, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres square off against Vidal Brujan and the Miami Marlins at PETCO Park on Monday, at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -184 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +153 moneyline odds to win. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this game (with -102 odds on the over and -118 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Miami Marlins took on the Arizona Diamondbacks in this regular season matchup.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, May 27, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-184	+153	7.5	-102	-118	-1.5	+116	-138

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 57%, Marlins 43%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have won 16 out of the 32 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
This season San Diego has been at least -184 favorites on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 64.8%.
The Marlins have been victorious in 16, or 40%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Miami has won three of 13 games when listed as at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 2-2 across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	5
ERA	3.24
K/9	10.6

Padres Player Insights

Jurickson Profar has been outstanding at finding his way aboard for the Padres this season, leading the squad with a .416 OBP and 60 hits.
Among all batters in MLB, Profar is 56th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
Arraez has a club-leading .335 batting average.
Arraez is 292nd in home runs and 224th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
Arraez has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .478 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
Jake Cronenworth has driven in a team-high 34 runs batted in.
Cronenworth is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, a triple, a walk and two RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s nine home runs lead his team.
Tatis has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.0
HR	8
ERA	2.77
K/9	8.0

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm is batting .260 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.
Chisholm's home run total places him 56th in the big leagues, and he is 59th in RBI.
Chisholm brings a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has hit nine home runs while hitting .262. Both high-water marks on his team.
De La Cruz is 29th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 62nd in RBI.
Josh Bell has collected a team-best 27 runs batted in.
Nick Gordon has five doubles, five home runs and five walks while hitting .233.