Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 28

Updated May. 28, 2024 9:03 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez and Jazz Chisholm will be among the stars on display when the San Diego Padres play the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Bookmakers list the Padres as -139 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Marlins +118 moneyline odds. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game is set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Miami Marlins took on the Arizona Diamondbacks in this regular season matchup.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 57%, Marlins 43%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 17 (51.5%) of those contests.
• San Diego is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Marlins have won in 16, or 39%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 10-21 when favored by +118 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

MIA 0 · SD 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+118

O 7

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-139

U 7

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 3-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is outstanding at getting on base when he's at the plate. Profar leads the Padres this season with a .418 OBP and 61 base hits.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Profar is 59th in home runs and 30th in RBI.
• Arraez's .333 batting average leads his team.
• Arraez is 291st in home runs and 224th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Arraez has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with a double and two RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has racked up a team-high 35 runs batted in.
• Cronenworth has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with two doubles, a triple, two walks and two RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown off his power as he paces his team with nine home runs.
• Tatis takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• The Marlins are led in runs batted in by Chisholm with a mark of 27, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .265.
• Chisholm is 45th in homers and 54th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Chisholm carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .317 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has racked up a team-high nine home runs.
• De La Cruz is 30th in home runs and 64th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Josh Bell paces the Marlins with 27 runs batted in.
• Nick Gordon is batting .229 with five doubles, five home runs and five walks.

Marlins vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments and plays from this game between the Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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