Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 29

Updated May. 29, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Braxton Garrett will try to shut down Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres when they play his Miami Marlins on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -139, while the underdog Marlins have +118 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). A 7-run total has been set for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, May 29, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-139	+118	7	-110	-110	-1.5	+158	-189

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 58%, Marlins 42%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Padres have won 18, or 52.9%, of the 34 games they've played as favorites this season.
San Diego has a record of 9-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 58.2% chance to win.
The Marlins have won in 16, or 38.1%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Miami has a mark of 10-21 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 4-2 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	4
ERA	3.13
K/9	9.9

Padres Player Insights

Profar has sent home a team-best 35 runs batted in.
In all of the majors, Profar is 46th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
Profar has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Luis Arraez is batting .332 to pace his team.
Arraez ranks 293rd in homers and 224th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Arraez has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with an RBI.
Jake Cronenworth has racked up a team-high 35 runs batted in.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s nine home runs pace his team.
Tatis has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Marlins have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	7
ERA	3.34
K/9	7.5

Marlins Player Insights

Jazz Chisholm has recorded a team-best batting average of .260 and paces the Marlins in runs batted in with a mark of 27.
Chisholm ranks 46th in home runs and 54th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Bryan De La Cruz has shown off his power as he paces his team with nine home runs.
De La Cruz ranks 30th overall in home runs and 68th in RBI this year.
Josh Bell has racked up a team-high 27 runs batted in.
Nick Gordon is hitting .222 with five doubles, five home runs and five walks.