Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres versus New York Mets game on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Jake Cronenworth and Francisco Lindor. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -143, while the underdog Mets have +120 odds to win. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 23, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -143 +120 8 -103 -119 -1.5 +152 -184

Padres vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Mets 46%

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 46 out of the 80 games, or 57.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season San Diego has won 25 of its 43 games, or 58.1%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Mets have come away with 22 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win nine times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
NYM 0 · SD 7
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres went 5-4 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 4.19
K/9 9.8

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar has gone yard 20 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 77 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Profar is 36th in homers and 21st in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .289 with 21 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Including all major league hitters, Merrill is 55th in home runs and 30th in RBI.
  • Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-high batting average of .303.
  • Arraez has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .190 with .
  • Manny Machado's 20 home runs are a team-high mark.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+240)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+170)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+160)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) - 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 15
ERA 3.70
K/9 7.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Lindor leads the Mets with 73 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .268.
  • In all of the majors, Lindor is 19th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has a team-best 27 home runs.
  • Alonso ranks 12th overall in home runs and 34th in RBI this year.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .227 with 22 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Jesse Winker has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 walks while batting .263.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+190)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+210)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+220)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+215)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres
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