Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 24

Updated Aug. 24, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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Jackson Merrill and Pete Alonso will be among the star attractions when the San Diego Padres play the New York Mets on Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET, at PETCO Park. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -121, while the underdog Mets have +102 odds to play spoiler. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 24, 2024 at 8:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Mets 45%

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 47 out of the 81 games, or 58%, in which they've been favored.
• San Diego has a record of 36-29 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (44%) in those games.
• New York has a mark of 17-21 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

NYM 7 · SD 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+122

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-146

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres went 5-4 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Padres' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar has gone yard 20 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 77 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
• Profar ranks 39th in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Profar takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Merrill is batting .288 with 21 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 21 walks.
• Of all major league hitters, Merrill ranks 58th in homers and 31st in RBI.
• Luis Arraez has accumulated a team-best batting average of .306.
• Arraez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a home run and two RBI.
• Manny Machado has shown off his power as he paces his team with 20 home runs.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 73 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .268.
• Lindor ranks 19th in homers and 27th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 27 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 12th overall in home runs and 36th in RBI this year.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .227 with 22 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 67 walks.
• Jesse Winker has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 walks while batting .263.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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