Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 25

Updated Aug. 25, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Francisco Lindor hit the field at PETCO Park against Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres on Sunday. The Padres are favored in this one, at -148, while the underdog Mets have +125 odds to upset. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup is set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres highlights on Saturday, August 24th.

Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 25, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Padres vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Mets 46%

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 82 times and won 47, or 57.3%, of those games.
• San Diego is 24-13 this season when entering a game favored by -148 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Mets have been victorious in 23, or 45.1%, of the 51 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, New York has won nine of 15 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 2 · SD 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+101

O 8.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-122

U 8.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
• The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 20 home runs and 77 runs batted in.
• Profar ranks 39th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Profar brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Jackson Merrill has 21 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 21 walks while batting .288.
• Of all MLB hitters, Merrill ranks 58th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
• Merrill carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
• Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .304.
• Manny Machado has shown off his power as he paces his team with 20 home runs.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mets are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor leads the Mets in home runs (27), runs batted in (78) and has a team-best batting average of .269.
• Among all batters in MLB, Lindor's home run total is 13th and his RBI tally ranks 19th.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with four doubles, three home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Pete Alonso's 27 home runs pace his team.
• Alonso is 13th in homers and 31st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Brandon Nimmo has 22 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 68 walks while hitting .226.
• Jesse Winker has 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .263.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres highlights on Saturday, August 24th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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