Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 16

Updated Jun. 16, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Jackson Merrill and the San Diego Padres will try to out-hit J.D. Martinez and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -129, while the underdog Mets have +109 odds to win. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The contest's over/under has been set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.

Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Padres vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Mets 48%

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 25, or 54.3%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 16-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -129 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those contests.
• New York has a win-loss record of 8-11 when favored by +109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 6 · NYM 11

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-129

O 7

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

+109

U 7

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 45 runs batted in.
• Profar's home runs put him 47th in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit 13 home runs to lead his team.
• Tatis ranks 22nd in home runs and 49th in RBI on the year.
• Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .217 with eight doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Luis Arraez's .324 batting average leads his team.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 2-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is hitting .230 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 23 walks.
• Lindor ranks 36th in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high 14 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 15th overall in home runs and 67th in RBI this year.
• Starling Marte has put up a team-high batting average of .286.
• Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-leading 34 runs batted in.

Mets Team Props

Padres vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. the Chicago Cubs game on Monday, May 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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