Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2024 12:00 p.m. ET

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Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres face Jesse Winker and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 12:05 PM ET. The favored Padres have -161 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +137. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup (with -101 odds to hit the over and -120 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the San Diego Padres and the Washington Nationals!

Padres vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 12:05 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Padres vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Nationals 50%

Padres vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 31, or 52.5%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has a record of 8-6, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (44.6%) in those contests.
• This year, Washington has won 17 of 41 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

SD 3 · WSH 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-159

O 9

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+135

U 9

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
• The Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar leads the Padres with 16 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
• Profar ranks 40th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Profar has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .311 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Including all major league hitters, Arraez ranks 293rd in home runs and 200th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .254 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks while batting .223.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-4.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 49.
• Abrams' home run total puts him 49th in MLB, and he is 53rd in RBI.
• Winker is batting .259 with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 52 walks.
• Winker ranks 99th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 84th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia has racked up a team-best batting average of .278.
• Lane Thomas is batting .247 with 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Padres vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the San Diego Padres and the Washington Nationals!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals - 07/25/2024

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