Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25
Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres face Jesse Winker and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on Thursday. First pitch is at 12:05 PM ET. The favored Padres have -161 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +137. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup (with -101 odds to hit the over and -120 odds to go under).
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Padres vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX
Padres vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 12:05 PM ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | -161 | +137 | 9 | -101 | -120 | -1.5 | -108 | -112 |
Padres vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Padres 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Nationals 50%
Padres vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 31, or 52.5%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has a record of 8-6, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (44.6%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won 17 of 41 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
- The Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 3.24 |
K/9 | 8.8 |
Padres Player Insights
- Profar leads the Padres with 16 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
- Profar ranks 40th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Profar has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
- Luis Arraez's .311 batting average is a team-high mark.
- Including all major league hitters, Arraez ranks 293rd in home runs and 200th in RBI.
- Arraez carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
- Jake Cronenworth is batting .254 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
- Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks while batting .223.
Padres Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson Merrill | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+150) |
Luis Campusano | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+165) |
Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+120) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+1100) | 0.5 (+200) |
Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+155) |
Manny Machado | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+120) |
Learn more about this Padres vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-4.
- The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Nationals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.
Nationals Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
HR | 8 |
ERA | 5.59 |
K/9 | 9.4 |
Nationals Player Insights
- C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 49.
- Abrams' home run total puts him 49th in MLB, and he is 53rd in RBI.
- Winker is batting .259 with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 52 walks.
- Winker ranks 99th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 84th in RBI.
- Luis Garcia has racked up a team-best batting average of .278.
- Lane Thomas is batting .247 with 13 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.
Nationals Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.J. Abrams | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+180) |
Luis Garcia | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+230) |
Trey Lipscomb | 0.5 (-155) | 0.5 (-155) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+295) |
Jacob Young | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (-135) | - | 0.5 (+330) |
James Wood | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+215) |
Padres vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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