Padres vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Updated Aug. 14, 2023 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jordan Westburg and the Baltimore Orioles hit the field on Monday at PETCO Park against Yu Darvish, who is projected to start for the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Orioles are listed as +120 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Padres (-142). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Darvish (8-7), and Grayson Rodriguez (2-3) getting the nod for the Baltimore Orioles.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 14, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-142	+120	8.5	-107	-112	-1.5	+149	-178

Padres vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Orioles 48%

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Padres have won 46, or 52.3%, of the 88 games they've played as favorites this season.
San Diego has a record of 36-26 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 63 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (55.6%) in those games.
Baltimore has a win-loss record of 14-11 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 3-4 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Padres have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	13
ERA	5.65
K/9	8.9

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto has gone yard 24 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 75 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
Among all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally puts him 15th.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .260.
Tatis is 42nd in homers and 49th in RBI on the year.
Tatis has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim has racked up a team-best batting average of .286.
Manny Machado has 17 doubles, 21 home runs and 38 walks while batting .256.
Machado brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .278 with three doubles, four walks and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+270)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Orioles had a record of 4-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Orioles have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	10
ERA	3.56
K/9	9.2

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is batting .270 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 66 walks.
Rutschman's home run total puts him 75th in the big leagues, and he ranks 66th in RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 21 home runs and 64 RBI.
Santander is currently 28th in home runs and 41st in RBI in the major leagues.
Gunnar Henderson is hitting .235 with 16 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
Adam Frazier has 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .239.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+160)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+190)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+240)

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