Padres vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 8:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles and Adley Rutschman take the field in the final game of a three-game series against Jake Cronenworth and the San Diego Padres, on Wednesday at PETCO Park. The Orioles have been listed as +156 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Padres (-185). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this matchup.

The Padres will start Blake Snell (9-8) versus the Orioles and Dean Kremer (11-4).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 8:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-185	+156	8	-114	-106	-1.5	+110	-131

Padres vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Orioles 48%

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 47 (52.2%) of those contests.
San Diego has a record of 13-12 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -185 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (55.4%) in those games.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Padres are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	9
ERA	5.23
K/9	8.4

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto is the Padres best power option, connecting on 24 long balls this season in addition to delivering 75 RBI, both team highs.
In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is 18th in homers and 19th in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has 27 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .265.
Tatis is 45th in home runs and 51st in RBI in the major leagues.
Tatis has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Manny Machado is hitting .254 with 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
Ha-Seong Kim has a club-leading .285 batting average.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+130)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+165)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+215)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+185)
Ben Gamel	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Orioles have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	11
ERA	4.40
K/9	8.8

Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman is batting .265 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 67 walks.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Rutschman ranks 78th in home runs and 68th in RBI.
Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 21 home runs and 64 runs batted in.
Santander is 30th overall in homers and 43rd in RBI this season.
Gunnar Henderson is batting .237 with 17 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
Adam Frazier has 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks while batting .240.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Mateo	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+320)
James McCann	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+265)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+240)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+250)
Ramón Urías	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+270)

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