Padres vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Padres vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Updated Jul. 27, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Jurickson Profar and Colton Cowser will look to continue their recent offensive production when the San Diego Padres and Baltimore Orioles meet at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday, at 4:05 PM ET. The Padres are favored in this one, at -118, while the underdog Orioles have -102 odds to win. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Highlights on Friday, July 26.
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Padres vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -118 -102 8.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +143 -170

Padres vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Orioles 46%

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 32 out of the 60 games, or 53.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • San Diego has a record of 25-25, a 50% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 54.1% chance to win.
  • The Orioles have won in 14, or 63.6%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious eight times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SD 9 ยท BAL 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Baltimore Orioles
BAL

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Padres have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 2.63
K/9 7.9

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar paces the Padres with 18 home runs and 66 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Profar's home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally ranks him 17th.
  • Profar carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a double, four home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Luis Arraez's .310 batting average paces his team.
  • Arraez ranks 291st in homers and 203rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Arraez has seven games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .286 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has 13 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks while batting .229.
  • Kim brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, two walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+220)
Jackson Merrill 1.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+170)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 2-2.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 15
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.8

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a team-leading batting average of .284.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Henderson's home run total ranks fifth and his RBI tally ranks 22nd.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 29 home runs with 68 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Among all major league hitters, Santander ranks third in home runs and 12th in RBI.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Jordan Westburg is hitting .267 with 22 doubles, five triples, 17 home runs and 20 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-195) 1.5 () 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-240) 1.5 () 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+195)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+220)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+225)
Jordan Westburg 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)

Padres vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Highlights on Friday, July 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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