Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 14

Updated Jul. 14, 2023 6:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres take the field on Friday at Citizens Bank Park against Cristopher Sanchez, who is starting for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch will be at 6:05 PM ET for the first game of a four-game series. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -113, while the underdog Phillies have -106 odds to upset. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the matchup is listed at 9.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Yu Darvish (5-6) for the San Diego Padres, and Sanchez (0-2) for the Philadelphia Phillies.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 14, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-113	-106	9.5	-116	-104	-1.5	+145	-172

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have won 34 out of the 66 games, or 51.5%, in which they've been favored.
San Diego is 33-30 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Phillies have been victorious in 14, or 42.4%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 12 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	16
ERA	3.59
K/9	9.6

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto is batting .265 with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 83 walks.
Of all hitters in MLB, Soto ranks 37th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
Tatis has hit 16 home runs while batting .288. Both lead his team.
Tatis is 29th in home runs and 69th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Tatis enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with two doubles and a walk.
Manny Machado has a team-best 49 runs batted in.
Xander Bogaerts is hitting .253 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 39 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+180)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+155)
Manny Machado	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+110)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 3-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Phillies have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	14
ERA	3.00
K/9	9

Phillies Player Insights

Nicholas Castellanos paces the Phillies with a .301 batting average.
Castellanos' home run total puts him 57th in MLB, and he ranks 23rd in RBI.
Bryson Stott has a club-leading .301 batting average.
Stott ranks 165th overall in home runs and 133rd in RBI this season.
Alec Bohm has a team-high 57 runs batted in.
Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 22 home runs.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos	-	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+140)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+150)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-169)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+240)	0.5 (+150)
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+150)

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