Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Trea Turner take the field at PETCO Park against Ha-Seong Kim and the San Diego Padres on Monday. The Padres are favored in this one, at -123, while the underdog Phillies have +103 odds to win. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Rich Hill (7-13), and Taijuan Walker (14-5) getting the nod for the Philadelphia Phillies.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 6, Phillies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Phillies 48%

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 55 out of the 105 games, or 52.4%, in which they've been favored.
• This season San Diego has won 49 of its 86 games, or 57%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (46.2%) in those games.
• This year, Philadelphia has won 14 of 28 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
• The Padres have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Place your bets on Padres vs. Phillies now with FOX Bet!

Padres Player Insights

• Juan Soto is the Padres best power option, launching 28 home runs this season in addition to collecting 84 RBI, both team highs.
• Soto's home runs place him 17th in the majors, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Soto carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Kim's .275 batting average leads his team.
• Kim ranks 92nd in homers in the majors, and 118th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .264 with 29 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 43 walks.
• Manny Machado is batting .249 with 19 doubles, 26 home runs and 45 walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Phillies are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 39 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 88.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schwarber's home run total ranks fourth and his RBI tally ranks 14th.
• Turner has 30 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .261.
• Turner ranks 52nd in home runs and 71st in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .279 with 26 doubles, 16 home runs and 37 walks.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .289 with 27 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.

Phillies Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Padres vs Phillies!

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres - 09/04/2023

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