Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take the field on Tuesday at PNC Park against Dylan Cease, who is expected to start for the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -165 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +139 moneyline odds. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates game on August 4, 2024.
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Padres vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, August 6, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -165 +139 7.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +100 -120

Padres vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Pirates 49%

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 36 (55.4%) of those contests.
  • San Diego is 9-7 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
  • The Pirates have been victorious in 31, or 47.7%, of the 65 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +139 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
SD 6 · PIT 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 6-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Padres' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 15
ERA 3.30
K/9 10.3

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar has gone yard 19 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 71 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
  • Profar's home runs place him 28th in MLB, and he is 16th in RBI.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .305 to pace his team.
  • Arraez is 303rd in homers in MLB, and 212th in RBI.
  • Arraez heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double and an RBI.
  • Manny Machado has 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .272.
  • Machado has at least one base hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .366 with four doubles, four home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 22 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .250.
  • Cronenworth brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .294 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Jurickson Profar 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Dónovan Solano 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Xander Bogaerts 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Pirates have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 9
ERA 3.99
K/9 7

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (19), runs batted in (66) and has posted a team-best batting average of .289.
  • Reynolds is 28th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
  • Cruz is hitting .255 with 23 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 46th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 47th in RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .242 with 19 doubles, 18 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .228 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 49 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+225)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+300)
Jared Triolo 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+320)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+245)
Joey Bart 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+290)

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates game on August 4, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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