Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres will look to find success against Marco Gonzales when he starts for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Padres are -161 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Pirates (+136). San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game is listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates game on August 6th, 2024.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 7, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Pirates 50%

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 37 (56.1%) of those contests.
• This season San Diego has won 12 of its 19 games, or 63.2%, when favored by at least -161 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 61.7% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (47%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 10 times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL (10)

SD 9 · PIT 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-161

O 7.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+136

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 6-1 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Padres have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar has a team-best 19 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• Of all batters in baseball, Profar's home run total ranks him 28th, and his RBI tally ranks him 17th.
• Profar brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Luis Arraez has a club-leading .305 batting average.
• Arraez is 304th in home runs and 214th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Arraez has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double and an RBI.
• Manny Machado is batting .269 with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks.
• Jake Cronenworth is hitting .250 with 22 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 36 walks.
• Cronenworth brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (19), runs batted in (66) and has posted a team-high batting average of .286.
• Reynolds' home run total puts him 28th in MLB, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
• Oneil Cruz has 23 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 29 walks while batting .255.
• Among all MLB hitters, Cruz is 48th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .240 with 19 doubles, 18 home runs and 25 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .229 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 49 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Padres vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates game on August 6th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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