Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 9:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Blake Snell will start for the San Diego Padres on Tuesday against Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET for this second game in a three-game series. The Padres are favored in this one, at -215, while the underdog Pirates have +178 odds to upset. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -105 odds). The game's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.

The Padres will start Snell (6-8) versus the Pirates and Rich Hill (7-9).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-215	+178	8.5	-115	-105	-1.5	-105	-116

Padres vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 57%, Pirates 43%

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have won 38 out of the 74 games, or 51.4%, in which they've been favored.
This season San Diego has won five of its nine games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -215 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 68.3% chance to win.
The Pirates have been victorious in 32, or 40.5%, of the 79 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +178 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 36% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Padres have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	15
ERA	4.29
K/9	8.9

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto has put up a team-best 19 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
Of all batters in the majors, Soto is 24th in homers and 27th in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has a club-leading .280 batting average.
Of all MLB batters, Tatis is 32nd in home runs and 65th in RBI.
Manny Machado has launched a team-best 19 homers.
Ha-Seong Kim has 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .270.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Manny Machado	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+115)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
Trent Grisham	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+300)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 3-6 in those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	13
ERA	5.97
K/9	9

Pirates Player Insights

Carlos Santana has put up a team-leading 52 runs batted in.
In all of the majors, Santana is 112th in homers and 55th in RBI.
Santana takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
Reynolds has 21 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 32 walks while batting .256.
Reynolds is 134th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates' lineup with a .268 batting average.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates in home runs (21) and runs batted in (52).

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Connor Joe	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+390)
Liover Peguero	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+350)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+245)
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)
Austin Hedges	0.5 (+130)	0.5 (+130)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+425)

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