Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will play Marcus Semien and the Texas Rangers at PETCO Park on Friday. The favored Padres have -165 moneyline odds against the underdog Rangers, who are listed at +139. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +124 odds). An 8.5-run total is listed in the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Joe Musgrove (9-3), and Dane Dunning (8-3) answering the bell for the Texas Rangers.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-165	+139	8.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+124	-146

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rangers 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Rangers 49%

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 39 (51.3%) of those contests.
San Diego has a record of 17-17 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Rangers have won in 19, or 55.9%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Texas has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres were favored on the moneyline for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Padres have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	16
ERA	3.19
K/9	8.9

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Padres Player Insights

Soto has racked up a team-high 20 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
Among all batters in baseball, Soto's home run total ranks him 22nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 22nd.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .277 batting average paces his team.
Among all major league hitters, Tatis ranks 34th in homers and 69th in RBI.
Manny Machado has racked up a team-high 20 home runs.
Machado has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .273 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 46 walks.
Kim has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with three home runs, six walks and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+120)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+150)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+245)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Rangers have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6
HR	16
ERA	6.23
K/9	7.9

Rangers Player Insights

Semien is hitting .280 with 27 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 44 walks.
Semien's home run total puts him 61st in MLB, and he ranks 20th in RBI.
Semien carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with two home runs and four RBI.
Adolis Garcia has hit 25 home runs with 84 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Garcia is seventh in home runs and first in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Nate Lowe paces the Rangers' lineup with a .286 batting average.
Jonah Heim is batting .283 with 24 doubles, 14 home runs and 28 walks.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Jung	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Ezequiel Duran	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Adolis García	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Marcus Semien	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Mitch Garver	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)

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