Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and Texas Rangers will play on Saturday at PETCO Park, at 8:40 PM ET, with Juan Soto and Marcus Semien among those expected to deliver at the plate. The Rangers have been listed as +155 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-183). San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's total is set at 9.5 runs.

The Padres will start Yu Darvish (7-7) versus the Rangers and Martin Perez (8-3).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 8:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-183	+155	9.5	-113	-106	-1.5	+112	-133

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 6, Rangers 5
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Rangers 49%

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have been favored 77 times and won 40, or 51.9%, of those games.
San Diego is 11-12 this season when entering a game favored by -183 or more on the moneyline.
The Padres have a 64.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Rangers have come away with 19 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Texas has won two of three games when listed as at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 5-4 across the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	15
ERA	2.86
K/9	9

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Padres Player Insights

The Padres' best power option comes in the form of Soto and his 20-homer 63-RBI season, both team highs.
Soto's home runs put him 22nd in MLB, and he is 23rd in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .279 batting average is a team-high mark.
Including all major league hitters, Tatis is 30th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
Manny Machado leads the Padres with 20 home runs.
Machado will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .274 with 15 doubles, 14 home runs and 48 walks.
Kim is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, six walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+230)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Manny Machado	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+120)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+185)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 3-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Rangers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	15
ERA	6.51
K/9	8

Rangers Player Insights

Semien is batting .277 with 27 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 45 walks.
Semien ranks 62nd in homers and 20th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Adolis Garcia has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 25 home runs and 84 runs batted in.
Garcia is seventh in home runs and first in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Nate Lowe has racked up a team-best batting average of .288.
Jonah Heim is hitting .283 with 24 doubles, 14 home runs and 28 walks.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adolis García	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+140)
Nate Lowe	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Marcus Semien	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+210)
Travis Jankowski	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+165)	-	0.5 (+290)
Robbie Grossman	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+280)

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