Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 4:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and Marcus Semien will be among the star attractions when the San Diego Padres face the Texas Rangers on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, at PETCO Park. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -196 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rangers +165 moneyline odds. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at -101 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

The Padres will give the ball to Blake Snell (7-8) against the Rangers and Cody Bradford (2-1).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-196	+165	9	-103	-117	-1.5	-101	-120

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Rangers 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Rangers 49%

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have won 41 out of the 78 games, or 52.6%, in which they've been favored.
San Diego is 8-9 this season when entering a game favored by -196 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 66.2%.
The Rangers have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (52.8%) in those contests.
Texas has played as an underdog of +165 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 37.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 5-4 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	11
ERA	2.76
K/9	9.4

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Padres Player Insights

Soto has gone yard 20 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 63 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
Soto's home runs put him 23rd in MLB, and he is 24th in RBI.
Soto carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .276 with 23 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 29 walks.
Tatis is 31st in homers and 62nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Manny Machado has a team-high 20 homers.
Machado is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .277 to pace his team.
Kim takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with two home runs, four walks and five RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+165)
Manny Machado	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+115)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Mat Batten	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+260)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Rangers and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Rangers are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	14
ERA	6.79
K/9	7.6

Rangers Player Insights

Semien is hitting .275 with 27 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 46 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .344.
Among all hitters in MLB, Semien ranks 63rd in homers and 21st in RBI.
Adolis Garcia has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 25 home runs and 84 runs batted in.
Garcia is eighth in home runs and first in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Nate Lowe leads the Rangers' lineup with a .285 batting average.
Jonah Heim is hitting .283 with 24 doubles, 14 home runs and 28 walks.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Marcus Semien	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)
Nate Lowe	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Ezequiel Duran	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Robbie Grossman	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+330)
Leody Taveras	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+265)

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