Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Updated May. 21, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Tyler Stephenson and the Cincinnati Reds take on Jake Cronenworth and the San Diego Padres at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Padres are -123 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Reds (+104). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been set for the contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -123 +104 9 -118 -102 -1.5 +132 -159

Padres vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Reds 48%

Padres vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 28 times this season and won 14, or 50%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered 20 games this season favored by -123 or more and is 9-11 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Reds have been underdogs in 26 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (30.8%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 5-16 when favored by +104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 0 · CIN 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were favored on the moneyline for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
  • The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 10
ERA 3.54
K/9 10.1

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is the Padres best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .339 rate along with seven homers and 31 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Profar ranks third in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
  • Profar brings a hitting streak of nine games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .382 with a double, a home run, seven walks and four RBI.
  • Cronenworth has shown his power as he leads his team with eight home runs and 32 RBI.
  • Cronenworth is 36th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with eight home runs.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has four doubles, two triples, six home runs and 29 walks while batting .216.
  • Kim has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a home run, three walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+250) 0.5 (+110)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Reds have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 8
ERA 3.79
K/9 8.1

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds with nine homers while recording a team-leading batting average of .256.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, De La Cruz's home run total is 22nd and his RBI tally ranks 71st.
  • Spencer Steer has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 31 runs batted in.
  • Steer ranks 130th in homers and 19th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Stephenson has seven doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while hitting .273.
  • Jonathan India has three doubles, a triple, two home runs and 22 walks while batting .219.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Jacob Hurtubise 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+250)
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Spencer Steer 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+135)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)

Reds vs. Dodgers Highlights | MLB on FOX

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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