Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 23

Updated May. 23, 2024 1:02 p.m. ET

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Matt Waldron gets the nod for the San Diego Padres on Thursday at Great American Ball Park against Tyler Stephenson and the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is set for 1:10 PM ET in this final game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -112 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Reds -107 moneyline odds. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9.5 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the San Diego Padres took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

Padres vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Padres vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Reds 49%

Padres vs. Reds Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 30 times and won 15, or 50%, of those games.
• This season San Diego has won 14 of its 29 games, or 48.3%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (32.1%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 9-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL (10)

SD 6 · CIN 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-114

O 9.5

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

+1.5

-105

U 9.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 2-4 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Padres have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar's .339 average leads the Padres this year. His resume also includes seven homers and driven in 32 RBI.
• Including all MLB batters, Profar ranks second in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
• Profar has collected a hit in 11 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .412 with two doubles, a home run, eight walks and five RBI.
• Luis Arraez has 11 doubles, a triple, a home run and 11 walks while batting .330.
• Arraez ranks 291st in homers and 237th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Arraez carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has put up a team-high eight home runs and 33 runs batted in.
• Cronenworth is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs.
• Tatis has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .174 with a double and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 3-7.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Reds have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with nine home runs and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .256.
• Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz is 24th in homers and 67th in RBI.
• Spencer Steer has been productive as he leads his team with 31 RBI.
• Steer is currently 142nd in home runs and 24th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Stephenson is hitting .263 with eight doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Jeimer Candelario has 11 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 12 walks while hitting .223.

Reds Team Props

Padres vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the San Diego Padres took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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