Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 6:05 p.m. ET

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres take on Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers on Friday at 6:40 PM ET in the first game of a three-game series. The Padres are favored in this one, at -150, while the underdog Tigers have +128 odds to win. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this contest (with -103 odds to hit the over and -117 odds to go under).

The scheduled starters are Seth Lugo (3-4) for the San Diego Padres, and Reese Olson (1-3) for the Detroit Tigers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -150 +128 9 -103 -117 -1.5 +109 -129

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Tigers 49%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 36 (51.4%) of those contests.
  • San Diego is 22-19 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (43%) in those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 25 times in 55 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Padres' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 16
ERA 3.49
K/9 10.1

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Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has put up a team-high 54 runs batted in.
  • Soto ranks 29th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .286 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Of all major league hitters, Tatis is 29th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
  • Tatis has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
  • Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (18) and runs batted in (54).
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Bogaerts brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+180)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+160)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+115)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 3.44
K/9 7.7

Tigers Player Insights

  • Torkelson leads the Tigers in home runs (14) and runs batted in (52).
  • In all of the majors, Torkelson is 60th in home runs and 47th in RBI.
  • Javier Baez is batting .224 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 15 walks.
  • Baez is currently 180th in home runs and 69th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Zach McKinstry has put up a team-best batting average of .244.
  • Matt Vierling is hitting .271 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Vierling 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+185)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+210)
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Javier Báez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)

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