Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 6:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres take on Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers on Friday at 6:40 PM ET in the first game of a three-game series. The Padres are favored in this one, at -150, while the underdog Tigers have +128 odds to win. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this contest (with -103 odds to hit the over and -117 odds to go under).

The scheduled starters are Seth Lugo (3-4) for the San Diego Padres, and Reese Olson (1-3) for the Detroit Tigers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-150	+128	9	-103	-117	-1.5	+109	-129

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Tigers 49%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 36 (51.4%) of those contests.
San Diego is 22-19 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
The Tigers have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (43%) in those contests.
This season, Detroit has come away with a win 25 times in 55 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
The Padres' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	16
ERA	3.49
K/9	10.1

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Padres Player Insights

Soto has put up a team-high 54 runs batted in.
Soto ranks 29th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s .286 batting average is a team-high mark.
Of all major league hitters, Tatis is 29th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
Tatis has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (18) and runs batted in (54).
Xander Bogaerts is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
Bogaerts brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+175)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+180)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+160)
Manny Machado	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+115)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	9
ERA	3.44
K/9	7.7

Tigers Player Insights

Torkelson leads the Tigers in home runs (14) and runs batted in (52).
In all of the majors, Torkelson is 60th in home runs and 47th in RBI.
Javier Baez is batting .224 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 15 walks.
Baez is currently 180th in home runs and 69th in RBI in the major leagues.
Zach McKinstry has put up a team-best batting average of .244.
Matt Vierling is hitting .271 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Matt Vierling	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+185)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+210)
Zach McKinstry	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Spencer Torkelson	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+145)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)

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