Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres will look to get the better of Matt Manning, the Detroit Tigers' starting pitcher, on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET. The Padres have been listed as -140 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Tigers (+119). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +114 odds). A 10-run over/under has been set in the game.

Manning (3-1) will get the nod for the Detroit Tigers, but there's been no pitching decision announced by the San Diego Padres yet.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-140	+119	10	-104	-116	-1.5	+114	-136

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 6, Tigers 5
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Tigers 49%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Padres have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 37, or 52.1%, of those games.
San Diego has entered 50 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 30-20 in those contests.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 58.3% chance to win.
The Tigers have come away with 34 wins in the 80 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Detroit has been victorious 26 times in 60 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 5-2 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	17
ERA	3.33
K/9	10.1

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto is the Padres best power option, launching 19 long balls this season in addition to delivering 57 RBI, both team highs.
Including all MLB batters, Soto is 54th in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .284 to pace his team.
Among all major league hitters, Tatis ranks 32nd in home runs and 64th in RBI.
Tatis enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Manny Machado has 13 doubles, 18 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .255.
Xander Bogaerts has 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks while batting .264.
Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-135)	0.5 (+270)	0.5 (-120)
Jake Cronenworth	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+150)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+145)
Xander Bogaerts	-	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Tigers have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	11
ERA	2.73
K/9	8.1

Tigers Player Insights

Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers with 14 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 52.
Among all hitters in MLB, Torkelson's home run total is 65th and his RBI tally ranks 50th.
Javier Baez is batting .227 with 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 15 walks.
Baez ranks 185th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Zach McKinstry has racked up a team-high batting average of .247.
Matt Vierling is hitting .270 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kerry Carpenter	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-286)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Andy Ibáñez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+130)
Matt Vierling	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)

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