Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2023 11:00 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres face Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Sunday. First pitch is at 12:05 PM ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -221, while the underdog Tigers have +184 odds to upset. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -112 odds to hit the over and -108 odds to go under).

The starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove (9-2) for the San Diego Padres, and Alex Faedo for the Detroit Tigers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 12:05 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: Peacock

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-221	+184	8.5	-112	-108	-1.5	-134	+113

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 7, Tigers 6
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Tigers 48%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have been favored 72 times and won 38, or 52.8%, of those games.
This season San Diego has won four of its five games when favored by at least -221 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Tigers have been victorious in 34, or 42%, of the 81 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Detroit has a win-loss record of 7-10 when favored by +184 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Padres have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	19
ERA	3.53
K/9	9

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Padres Player Insights

Soto paces the Padres in home runs (19) and runs batted in (60).
Soto ranks 23rd in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Soto takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has a club-best .287 batting average.
Tatis ranks 32nd in homers and 62nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Tatis carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .300 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
Manny Machado paces the Padres with 19 home runs.
Machado will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim is batting .268 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 42 walks.
Kim has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+175)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+155)
Manny Machado	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+105)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	11
ERA	4.15
K/9	8.1

Tigers Player Insights

Torkelson paces the Tigers in home runs (14) and runs batted in (52).
In all of the big leagues, Torkelson ranks 65th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
Zach McKinstry's .248 batting average leads his team.
McKinstry ranks 185th in home runs and 243rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Javier Baez is batting .228 with 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 15 walks.
Matt Vierling has nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks while batting .269.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Spencer Torkelson	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+165)
Zach McKinstry	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+240)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Matt Vierling	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+200)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+245)

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