Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2023 11:00 a.m. ET

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres face Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Sunday. First pitch is at 12:05 PM ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -221, while the underdog Tigers have +184 odds to upset. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -112 odds to hit the over and -108 odds to go under).

The starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove (9-2) for the San Diego Padres, and Alex Faedo for the Detroit Tigers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 12:05 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: Peacock
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -221 +184 8.5 -112 -108 -1.5 -134 +113

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 7, Tigers 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Tigers 48%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 72 times and won 38, or 52.8%, of those games.
  • This season San Diego has won four of its five games when favored by at least -221 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Tigers have been victorious in 34, or 42%, of the 81 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 7-10 when favored by +184 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Padres have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 19
ERA 3.53
K/9 9

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Padres Player Insights

  • Soto paces the Padres in home runs (19) and runs batted in (60).
  • Soto ranks 23rd in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Soto takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has a club-best .287 batting average.
  • Tatis ranks 32nd in homers and 62nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Tatis carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .300 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Manny Machado paces the Padres with 19 home runs.
  • Machado will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is batting .268 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Kim has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+175)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+155)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+105)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+220)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 11
ERA 4.15
K/9 8.1

Tigers Player Insights

  • Torkelson paces the Tigers in home runs (14) and runs batted in (52).
  • In all of the big leagues, Torkelson ranks 65th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
  • Zach McKinstry's .248 batting average leads his team.
  • McKinstry ranks 185th in home runs and 243rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Javier Baez is batting .228 with 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 15 walks.
  • Matt Vierling has nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks while batting .269.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+165)
Zach McKinstry 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+240)
Javier Báez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+200)
Matt Vierling 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+200)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+245)

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