Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

Jurickson Profar and Riley Greene are the hottest hitters on the San Diego Padres and Detroit Tigers, who meet on Wednesday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Padres have -197 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +163. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Cardinals Highlights | MLB on FOX

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals highlights on Monday, August 27th.
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Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -197 +163 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +111 -131

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Tigers 45%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won 51, or 58.6%, of the 87 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego is 8-5 this season when entering a game favored by -197 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (45.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win two times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +163 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 38% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
DET 5 · SD 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers
DET
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 11
ERA 4.03
K/9 8.4

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar is batting .280 with 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Profar is 22nd in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 44th in slugging.
  • Jackson Merrill has 22 doubles, six triples, 21 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .291.
  • Merrill is 41st in homers and 28th in RBI on the year.
  • Merrill has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (23) and runs batted in (84).
  • Machado will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has a club-best .310 batting average.
  • Arraez is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .450 with two doubles, three walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+190)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+115)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+160)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Tigers have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 2.40
K/9 7.7

Tigers Player Insights

  • Greene leads the Tigers with 20 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 58.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Greene ranks 54th in homers and 86th in RBI.
  • Greene brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Matt Vierling is hitting .261 to lead the lineup.
  • Vierling is 106th in homers and 125th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Colt Keith is batting .257 with 14 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Kerry Carpenter has 11 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .286.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Riley Greene 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+210)
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+200)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+205)
Jace Jung 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+240)
Parker Meadows 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+270)

Angels vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers highlights on Monday, August 27th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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