Padres vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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A couple of hot hitters, Jurickson Profar and Riley Greene, will be on display when the San Diego Padres play the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at 8:40 p.m. ET, at PETCO Park. The favored Padres have -160 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +136. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +132 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 8:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Padres vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Tigers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Tigers 45%

Padres vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 52 (59.1%) of those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 20-10, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Tigers have been underdogs in 84 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (45.2%) in those contests.
• Detroit has a win-loss record of 5-18 when favored by +136 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 42.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

DET 4 · SD 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Detroit Tigers

DET

+1.5

+137

O 8.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-162

U 8.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres went 5-1 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar is hitting .278 with 24 doubles, 21 home runs and 69 walks.
• In all of MLB, Profar is 42nd in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .294 with 23 doubles, six triples, 22 home runs and 24 walks.
• Merrill is 35th in home runs and 24th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Merrill carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with a double, two home runs and six RBI.
• Manny Machado paces the Padres in home runs (23) and runs batted in (86).
• Machado has at least one base hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .311 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Arraez brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with four walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Tigers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Greene paces the Tigers in home runs (20) and runs batted in (58).
• Greene ranks 55th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Matt Vierling's .262 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Among all major league hitters, Vierling is 97th in home runs and 121st in RBI.
• Colt Keith is batting .259 with 14 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 31 walks.
• Kerry Carpenter is hitting .284 with 12 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 19 walks.

Tigers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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