Padres vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Updated Aug. 19, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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Michael King takes the mound for the San Diego Padres on Monday against Carlos Santana and the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at PETCO Park. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -174, while the underdog Twins have +146 odds to upset. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been set at 7 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 19, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Padres vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Twins 47%

Padres vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 77 times and won 45, or 58.4%, of those games.
• San Diego is 12-9 this season when entering a game favored by -174 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 63.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Twins have come away with 16 wins in the 39 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Minnesota has been listed as an underdog of +146 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIN 3 · SD 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

+1.5

+148

O 7

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-175

U 7

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 7-3 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is the Padres best power hitter, hitting 19 long balls this season in addition to collecting 73 RBI, both team highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Profar ranks 16th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .290 with 19 doubles, six triples, 17 home runs and 21 walks.
• Merrill ranks 69th in homers and 38th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Merrill carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two triples and two RBI.
• Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-best batting average of .305.
• Manny Machado's 19 home runs pace his team.
• Machado is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Twins had a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Twins have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Santana is hitting .241 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 48 walks.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Santana is 54th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .258 to lead the lineup.
• Castro is 158th in home runs and 113th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Jose Miranda is hitting .306 with 26 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers has posted a team-leading 19 home runs and has driven in 57 runs.

Twins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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