Padres vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Padres vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Dylan Cease will start for the Chicago White Sox in the first of a three-game series against the San Diego Padres and Juan Soto on Friday at 7:40 PM ET. The Padres are -143 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the White Sox (+121). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +114 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Nick Martinez (5-4), and Cease (7-8) taking the ball for the Chicago White Sox.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-White Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Padres vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-CHI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -143 +121 8.5 -115 -106 -1.5 +114 -136

Padres vs. White Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, White Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, White Sox 46%

Padres vs. White Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 65 out of the 118 games, or 55.1%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season San Diego has won 48 of its 79 games, or 60.8%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
  • The White Sox have come away with 37 wins in the 112 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 21 times in 64 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and went 7-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Padres have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 2.25
K/9 9.8

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto paces the Padres with 35 home runs and 108 runs batted in.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Soto ranks 33rd in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .263 with 33 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Tatis is 44th in home runs and 60th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with a .283 batting average.
  • Bogaerts has at least one base hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBI.
  • Manny Machado has 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .258.
  • Machado has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .476 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Juan Soto 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+140)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
Mat Batten 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+290)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-213) 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Padres vs. White Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the White Sox had a record of 3-6.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the White Sox and their opponents are 2-8-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The White Sox are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

White Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 7
ERA 4.39
K/9 6

White Sox Player Insights

  • Andrew Vaughn has driven in the most runs for the White Sox with 80 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Vaughn's home run total ranks 76th and his RBI tally is 52nd.
  • Vaughn has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Andrew Benintendi has 34 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 51 walks while hitting .263.
  • Benintendi ranks 311th in home runs and 193rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Eloy Jimenez has 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 29 walks while batting .274.
  • Elvis Andrus has 20 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks while batting .252.

White Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Eloy Jiménez 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
Tim Anderson 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+290)
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+255)
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)
Elvis Andrus 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+280)
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