Padres vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 25

Updated May. 25, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres square off against Juan Soto and the New York Yankees on Saturday at 9:40 PM ET, in the second of a three-game series at PETCO Park. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -123 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Yankees +103 moneyline odds to win. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +172 odds). A 7.5-run over/under has been set in this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the New York Yankees took on the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, May 25, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: YES

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-123	+103	7.5	+106	-128	-1.5	+172	-213

Padres vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Yankees 48%

Padres vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Padres have won 16, or 51.6%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
San Diego has a record of 10-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%.
The Yankees have been underdogs in 13 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (69.2%) in those contests.
This season, New York has come away with a win four times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres were favored on the moneyline for five of their last 10 games, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Padres have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	4
ERA	4.04
K/9	10.3

Padres Player Insights

Jurickson Profar has been stellar at finding his way aboard for the Padres this season, leading the team with a .425 OBP and 60 base hits.
Profar's home runs place him 54th in the majors, and he ranks 24th in RBI.
Arraez's .335 batting average paces his team.
Arraez ranks 289th in home runs in MLB, and 227th in RBI.
Jake Cronenworth leads the Padres with eight home runs and 34 runs batted in.
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s eight home runs lead his team.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and won both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	21
ERA	1.80
K/9	9.5

Yankees Player Insights

The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Soto with a mark of 43, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .315.
In all of the majors, Soto is fifth in homers and fourth in RBI.
Soto has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Aaron Judge's 16 home runs pace his team.
Judge is currently third in homers and eighth in RBI in the big leagues.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .279 with nine doubles, three triples, six home runs and 21 walks.
Alex Verdugo is batting .256 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.