Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays hit the field on Wednesday at Rogers Centre against Cristopher Sanchez, who is projected to start for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 3:07 p.m. ET for the final game of a two-game series. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -131, while the underdog Blue Jays have +111 odds to win. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -115 odds to go over and -105 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Toronto Blue Jays!

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to Watch on TV: NBC 10

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Blue Jays 49%

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 67, or 62%, of the 108 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 89 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 55-34 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (35.8%) in those contests.
• This year, Toronto has won 17 of 41 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 4 · TOR 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-131

O 7.5

Toronto Blue Jays

TOR

+1.5

+111

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 6-1 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, knocking in 89 runs to go with his 13 home runs and .290 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bohm is 17th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and 37th in slugging.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .282 with 34 doubles, 26 home runs and 66 walks.
• Harper ranks 22nd in homers and 36th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Harper enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .400 with three doubles and two walks.
• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 31 home runs.
• Schwarber has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .318 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .248 with 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 34 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero leads the squad with a batting average of .328, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs, with 28 and runs batted in with 91.
• Guerrero's home run total places him 18th in the big leagues, and he is 12th in RBI.
• George Springer is batting .221 with 17 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 54 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Springer is 64th in home runs and 99th in RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .217 with 20 doubles, seven triples, 18 home runs and 46 walks.
• Ernie Clement is hitting .263 with 19 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and nine walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

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Check out the best moments and plays from the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins game on September 1st, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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