Phillies vs. Braves NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11

Updated Oct. 11, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

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The NLDS continues Wednesday at 5:07 PM ET when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves live on TBS from Citizens Bank Park. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 1-1 tie in the series following the first two games. The Phillies are -124 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Braves (+105). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been listed for this matchup.

The Phillies are set to start Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) against the Braves and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.81 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Braves game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Braves 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Braves 50%

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 113 games this season and won 68 (60.2%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 58-30 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Braves have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Atlanta has come away with a win three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 4-2 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has a team-best 47 homers.
• Schwarber's home runs rank him second in MLB, and he is 11th in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Trea Turner is hitting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Turner is 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Turner heads into this game looking for his ninth game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .308 with six doubles, two walks and two RBI.
• Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks while batting .274.
• Bryce Harper has a club-leading .293 batting average.
• Harper is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with a home run, six walks and an RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Braves as underdogs once.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Braves have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the team in batting average with a mark of .337.
• Acuna is fifth in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 54 home runs and 139 RBI.
• Among all MLB batters, Olson is first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .280 with 30 doubles, five triples, 33 home runs and 46 walks.
• Austin Riley has 32 doubles, three triples, 37 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .281.

Braves Team Props

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