Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

Updated Aug. 30, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Reynaldo Lopez will start for the Atlanta Braves against the Philadelphia Phillies and J.T. Realmuto on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -135 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Braves +115 moneyline odds. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 7.5 runs for the contest (with -105 odds to go over and -115 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, August 29.

Phillies vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 30, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Braves 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Braves 45%

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 105 times and won 65, or 61.9%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 54 of its 85 games, or 63.5%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Braves have won in 11, or 47.8%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Atlanta has come away with a win one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

ATL 7 · PHI 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

+1.5

+118

O 7.5

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-139

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, knocking in 89 runs to go with his 13 home runs and .290 batting average.
• Bohm's home runs rank him 123rd in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .278 with 31 doubles, 26 home runs and 65 walks.
• Harper ranks 21st in home runs in MLB, and 27th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-best 28 home runs.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .250 with 26 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 32 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 2-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Braves are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 37 home runs and 98 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .308.
• Among all batters in the majors, Ozuna ranks fourth in homers and third in RBI.
• Ozuna takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, four walks and four RBI.
• Matt Olson has 30 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks while batting .234.
• Olson ranks 22nd in home runs and 27th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .234 with 25 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 59 walks.
• Orlando Arcia is batting .225 with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 33 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, August 29.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 08/30/2024

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