Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Updated Aug. 31, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves hit the field on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park against Zack Wheeler, who is projected to start for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET for the third game of a four-game series. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -170 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Braves +143 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under has been listed in the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays in this matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-170	+143	7.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+129	-154

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Braves 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Braves 46%

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have won 65 out of the 106 games, or 61.3%, in which they've been favored.
Philadelphia has entered 50 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 35-15 in those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Braves have won in 12, or 50%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Atlanta has played as an underdog of +143 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 41.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 4-1 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	9
ERA	3.84
K/9	8

Phillies Player Insights

Alec Bohm has collected a team-best 89 runs batted in.
In all of MLB, Bohm is 127th in homers and 12th in RBI.
Bryce Harper is hitting .282 with 33 doubles, 26 home runs and 65 walks.
Harper is 21st in homers and 29th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Harper has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with three doubles, four walks and an RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 28 home runs.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .249 with 26 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 33 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+145)	-	0.5 (+170)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+165)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+150)
Trea Turner	0.5 ()	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 2-1.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Braves have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	15
ERA	2.97
K/9	9.4

Braves Player Insights

Ozuna leads the Braves with 37 home runs and 98 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .309.
Ozuna ranks fourth in homers and third in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Ozuna takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .400 with three doubles, three walks and four RBI.
Matt Olson is hitting .236 with 31 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
Olson ranks 23rd overall in homers and 27th in RBI this season.
Jorge Soler is batting .232 with 25 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 60 walks.
Orlando Arcia has 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 34 walks while batting .228.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Matt Olson	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+155)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+105)	-	0.5 (+150)
Gio Urshela	0.5 (-205)	0.5 (-205)	-	0.5 (+290)
Orlando Arcia	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (-150)	-	0.5 (+255)
Michael Harris II	0.5 (-195)	0.5 (-200)	-	0.5 (+225)