Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Updated Jul. 18, 2023 6:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies will see Julio Teheran on the hill for the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a three-game series, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -206 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Brewers +171 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at -103 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this contest (with -103 odds to go over and -117 odds on the under).

The Phillies will start Aaron Nola (8-6) versus the Brewers and Teheran (2-3).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 18, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-206	+171	9.5	-103	-117	-1.5	-103	-117

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Brewers 4
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

The Phillies have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 35 (61.4%) of those contests.
Philadelphia has entered 10 games this season favored by -206 or more and is 6-4 in those contests.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (54.3%) in those games.
Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +171 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 36.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and won every time.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
The Phillies have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	13
ERA	3.87
K/9	8.4

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Phillies Player Insights

Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .291 with 26 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
In all of MLB, Castellanos ranks 64th in homers and 28th in RBI.
Stott's .303 batting average is a team-high mark.
Including all MLB hitters, Stott ranks 158th in home runs and 136th in RBI.
Stott carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 25 home runs.
Schwarber will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
Alec Bohm's 58 runs batted in pace his team.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+130)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+165)
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+145)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+215)	0.5 (+120)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+115)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
The Brewers are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	11
ERA	3.33
K/9	11.3

Brewers Player Insights

Christian Yelich has put up a team-best batting average of .283 and leads the Brewers in runs batted in with a mark of 49.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Yelich is 64th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
Willy Adames has put his power on display as he leads his team with 16 home runs.
Among all major league hitters, Adames is 35th in home runs and 67th in RBI.
William Contreras is batting .272 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
Joey Wiemer is batting .209 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willy Adames	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)
Owen Miller	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+240)
William Contreras	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+205)
Christian Yelich	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+210)
Jesse Winker	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+240)

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