Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Colin Rea will be on the hill for the Milwaukee Brewers when they take on Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -146 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Brewers +125 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the matchup has been set at 9 runs.

The scheduled starters are Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Rea (5-4) for the Milwaukee Brewers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -146 +125 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +134 -157

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 7, Brewers 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 36 out of the 58 games, or 62.1%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia is 18-11 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (53.2%) in those games.
  • This year, Milwaukee has won 10 of 20 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and won all of them.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5
HR 14
ERA 3.97
K/9 7.7

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .290.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Castellanos' home run total places him 69th, and his RBI tally ranks him 29th.
  • Kyle Schwarber has shown his power as he paces his team with 26 home runs.
  • Schwarber is fifth in homers and 24th in RBI on the season.
  • Schwarber has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .261 with a double, four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has accumulated a team-high batting average of .306.
  • Stott will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Alec Bohm's 59 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
  • Bohm is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, four walks and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Nicholas Castellanos 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+150)
Bryson Stott 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+155)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • The Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Brewers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 3.16
K/9 11.2

Brewers Player Insights

  • Christian Yelich paces the Brewers with 50 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .280.
  • Yelich's home run total puts him 69th in MLB, and he is 51st in RBI.
  • Willy Adames' 16 home runs pace his team.
  • Adames ranks 39th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 69th in RBI.
  • William Contreras is hitting .268 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Joey Wiemer is batting .207 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
William Contreras 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)
Christian Yelich 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+235)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)
Owen Miller 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)

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