Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2023 12:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park, at 12:35 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Phillies as -111 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Brewers -109 moneyline odds. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +151 odds). A 9-run total is set in this contest.

The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Taijuan Walker (11-3, 4.00 ERA), who is looking for win No. 12 on the season, and the Brewers will turn to Corbin Burnes (8-5, 3.73 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-111	-109	9	+110	-135	-1.5	-181	+151

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Brewers 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

The Phillies have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 36 (61%) of those contests.
Philadelphia has a record of 36-22, a 62.1% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Phillies have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Brewers have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (54.2%) in those contests.
This year, Milwaukee has won 23 of 44 games when listed as at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and finished 4-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Phillies are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	13
ERA	3.87
K/9	7.2

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Phillies Player Insights

Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks while batting .290.
In all of Major League Baseball, Castellanos ranks 59th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Castellanos carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .105 with a home run and two RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has hit 26 home runs with 59 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
Schwarber ranks fifth in homers and 20th in RBI on the year.
Schwarber has six games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .222 with two doubles, four home runs, two walks and 12 RBI.
Bryson Stott has accumulated a team-best batting average of .305.
Stott has at least one base hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Alec Bohm's 59 runs batted in lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Trea Turner	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+190)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+165)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Brewers had a record of 3-2.
The Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Brewers are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	11
ERA	2.83
K/9	11.2

Brewers Player Insights

Yelich has recorded a team-best batting average of .279 and leads the Brewers in runs batted in with a mark of 51.
Among all batters in MLB, Yelich's home run total is 73rd and his RBI tally ranks 46th.
William Contreras has 17 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks while batting .274.
Contreras ranks 129th in home runs and 134th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 16 long balls.
Joey Wiemer is hitting .208 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Victor Caratini	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+125)
William Contreras	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Raimel Tapia	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Yelich	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)

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