Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies will see Aaron Civale at the rubber for the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a three-game series, Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -110, while the underdog Brewers have -109 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +152 odds). The total is 8 runs for the contest (with -112 odds on the over and -108 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks game on September 13th, 2024.

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Brewers 46%

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 119 times and won 75, or 63%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 76-44 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Brewers have come away with 34 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Milwaukee has a mark of 34-28 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 2 · MIL 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-112

O 8

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

-108

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Phillies are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Harper is outstanding at finding his way aboard when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .376 OBP and 146 base hits.
• Harper's home runs rank him 21st in MLB, and he is 31st in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 35 home runs with 95 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks eighth in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .290 with 44 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks.
• Trea Turner has a club-leading .294 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .280.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Contreras' home run total ranks 44th and his RBI tally ranks 21st.
• Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs with 109 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Adames ranks 11th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and second in RBI.
• Jackson Chourio is batting .276 with 28 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 37 walks.
• Brice Turang has 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 47 walks while batting .259.

Brewers Team Props

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks game on September 13th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 09/16/2024

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