Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will play William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday at American Family Field, at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -138, while the underdog Brewers have +118 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is set for the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 17, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Brewers 46%

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 75 out of the 120 games, or 62.5%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 59-32 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
• The Brewers have come away with 35 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 13 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 5 · MIL 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-141

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

+120

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper gets on base at a .377 clip while slugging .533, both marks that lead the Phillies. He also has the team high in base knocks with 148.
• In all of MLB, Harper ranks 21st in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• Schwarber has hit 35 home runs with 96 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 13th in RBI on the season.
• Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .287.
• Trea Turner is batting .296 to pace his team.
• Turner is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double and a walk.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a record of 3-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Brewers are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-leading batting average of .281.
• Contreras is 45th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs with 109 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Adames ranks 11th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and second in RBI.
• Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.
• Brice Turang is hitting .261 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 47 walks.

Brewers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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