Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will play William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday at American Family Field, at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -138, while the underdog Brewers have +118 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total is set for the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 17, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -138 +118 7.5 +102 -123 -1.5 +126 -151

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Brewers 46%

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 75 out of the 120 games, or 62.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 59-32 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
  • The Brewers have come away with 35 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 13 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
PHI 5 · MIL 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 11
ERA 4.97
K/9 8.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper gets on base at a .377 clip while slugging .533, both marks that lead the Phillies. He also has the team high in base knocks with 148.
  • In all of MLB, Harper ranks 21st in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
  • Schwarber has hit 35 home runs with 96 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
  • Schwarber ranks eighth in homers and 13th in RBI on the season.
  • Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .287.
  • Trea Turner is batting .296 to pace his team.
  • Turner is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double and a walk.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) - -
Trea Turner 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+200)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+170)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+160)
Cal Stevenson 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+320)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a record of 3-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Brewers are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 4.35
K/9 9.5

Brewers Player Insights

  • Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-leading batting average of .281.
  • Contreras is 45th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Willy Adames has hit 32 home runs with 109 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Adames ranks 11th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and second in RBI.
  • Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.
  • Brice Turang is hitting .261 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 47 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
William Contreras 0.5 (-205) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+200)
Joey Ortiz 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+350)
Jackson Chourio 0.5 (-220) 0.5 (-215) - 0.5 (+210)
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+270)
Brice Turang 0.5 (-225) 0.5 (-215) - 0.5 (+300)

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Milwaukee Brewers
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