Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

The Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals will play on Sunday at Busch Stadium, at 2:15 PM ET, with Kyle Schwarber and Nolan Arenado -- two hot hitters -- expected to step up at the plate. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -139 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Cardinals +117 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run total is set in the contest.

The Phillies will start Taijuan Walker (15-5) versus the Cardinals and Dakota Hudson (6-2).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 2:15 PM ET
  • Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSMW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -139 +117 9.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +116 -138

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Cardinals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Cardinals 49%

Phillies vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 60, or 58.8%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 36-24 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have come away with 30 wins in the 71 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, St. Louis has been victorious 13 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 4-2 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 3.91
K/9 9.2

Phillies Player Insights

  • Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (44) and runs batted in (97).
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Schwarber is third in homers and ninth in RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 32 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks while batting .268.
  • Turner ranks 31st in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Turner carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .285 with 30 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Alec Bohm has 30 doubles, 16 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .280.
  • Bohm has recorded at least one hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .250 with three doubles, three walks and four RBI.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cardinals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 4-5 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 10
ERA 5.38
K/9 6.7

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Arenado has recorded a team-leading batting average of .271 and paces the Cardinals in runs batted in with a mark of 90.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Arenado's home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 24th.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has a club-high .271 batting average.
  • Goldschmidt ranks 44th in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Lars Nootbaar is hitting .269 with 22 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 66 walks.
  • Willson Contreras is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, 19 home runs and 50 walks.
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