Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Trea Turner will take on the Chicago Cubs and Nico Hoerner on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are -103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Phillies (-116). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday, July 3.

Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Cubs 47%

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 49 out of the 72 games, or 68.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 47-22, a 68.1% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
• The Cubs have won in 19, or 40.4%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Chicago has been victorious 15 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 2 · CHC 10

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-129

O 7.5

Chicago Cubs

CHC

+1.5

+109

U 7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 6-3 over the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Phillies have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 70 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Bohm is 61st in homers and third in RBI.
• Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 37 walks while batting .243.
• Stott ranks 200th in homers and 79th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .233 with 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 25 walks.
• Castellanos will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Turner is batting .342 with 14 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
• Turner has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with a double, two home runs and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Cubs are 2-8-0 against the spread.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger paces the Cubs with a team-high batting average of .274.
• Bellinger ranks 103rd in home runs and 95th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bellinger has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
• Ian Happ is hitting .227 with 19 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 46 walks.
• Happ is 61st overall in homers and 42nd in RBI this season.
• Hoerner is hitting .241 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 29 walks.
• Christopher Morel has a team-high 15 home runs and has driven in 45 runs.

Cubs Team Props

Phillies vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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