Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 7:03 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies will take the field against the Chicago Cubs and starting pitcher Justin Steele on Monday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -180, while the underdog Cubs have +151 odds to win. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Kyle Schwarber BELTS a leadoff home run in Phillies' matchup against Mets

Kyle Schwarber blasted a leadoff home run in the Philadelphia Phillies' matchup against the New York Mets.

Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 23, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-180	+151	8	-108	-112	-1.5	+121	-144

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Cubs 46%

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Insights

The Phillies have been favorites in 123 games this season and won 77 (62.6%) of those contests.
Philadelphia has a record of 34-13 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -180 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.3% chance to win.
The Cubs have won in 37, or 48.7%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Chicago has a win-loss record of 6-2 when favored by +151 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	4.76
K/9	9.1

Phillies Player Insights

Bryce Harper is stellar at getting on base when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .370 OBP and 151 base hits.
Among all MLB hitters, Harper ranks 22nd in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
Kyle Schwarber's 36 home runs and 99 RBI both pace his team.
Schwarber ranks ninth in homers and 13th in RBI in the major leagues.
Alec Bohm is batting .288 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 39 walks.
Trea Turner is batting .298 to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+145)	-	0.5 (+190)
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+115)	-	0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+160)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-105)	-	0.5 (+135)
Trea Turner	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

Oddsmakers have not installed the Cubs as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Cubs are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	15
ERA	3.94
K/9	8.4

Cubs Player Insights

Ian Happ paces the Cubs in home runs (25) and runs batted in (85).
Among all batters in the big leagues, Happ's home run total is 33rd and his RBI tally ranks 32nd.
Nico Hoerner is hitting .269 with 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 44 walks.
Hoerner is currently 293rd in homers and 196th in RBI in the major leagues.
Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while batting .266.
Isaac Paredes has 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 74 walks while hitting .234.

Cubs Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Cody Bellinger	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+165)
Michael Busch	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (-160)	-	0.5 (+205)
Seiya Suzuki	0.5 (-180)	0.5 (-180)	-	0.5 (+190)
Miles Mastrobuoni	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (-150)	-	0.5 (+300)
Mike Tauchman	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (-190)	-	0.5 (+265)