Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Chicago Cubs will look to Dansby Swanson for continued success at the plate when they take the field against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -200 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Cubs +166 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's total is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Kyle Schwarber BELTS a leadoff home run in Phillies' matchup against Mets

Kyle Schwarber blasted a leadoff home run in the Philadelphia Phillies' matchup against the New York Mets.
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Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, September 23, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MARQ
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -200 +166 8 -106 -114 -1.5 +100 -121

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Cubs 46%

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 123 times and won 77, or 62.6%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has entered 36 games this season favored by -200 or more and is 26-10 in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a 66.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 76 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (48.7%) in those contests.
  • Chicago has played as an underdog of +166 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 37.6% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
CHC 2 · PHI 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 4.76
K/9 9.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper has been stellar at finding his way aboard for the Phillies this season, leading the squad with a .370 OBP and 151 base hits.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Harper ranks 22nd in homers and 29th in RBI.
  • Schwarber has hit 36 home runs with 99 RBI. Both pace his team.
  • Schwarber is ninth in homers and 13th in RBI in the majors.
  • Alec Bohm has 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .288.
  • Trea Turner has a club-high .298 batting average.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+190)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-285) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+135)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+165)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Cubs have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 15
ERA 3.94
K/9 8.4

Cubs Player Insights

  • Ian Happ paces the Cubs in home runs (25) and runs batted in (85).
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Happ is 33rd in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is hitting .269 with 32 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 44 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Hoerner ranks 293rd in homers and 196th in RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger is hitting .266 with 23 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Isaac Paredes is hitting .234 with 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 74 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) - 0.5 (+200)
Miles Mastrobuoni 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+300)
Michael Busch 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) - 0.5 (+220)
Mike Tauchman 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+275)

Kyle Schwarber BELTS a leadoff home run in Phillies' matchup against Mets

Kyle Schwarber blasted a leadoff home run in the Philadelphia Phillies' matchup against the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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