Data Skrive
Javier Assad will take the mound for the Chicago Cubs against the Philadelphia Phillies and Nicholas Castellanos on Wednesday at 6:05 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies have -187 moneyline odds against the underdog Cubs, who are listed at +157. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run total has been set in the matchup.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Bryce Harper smashes a solo homer to center, giving Phillies early lead vs. Cubs
Bryce Harper smashed a solo homer to center and gave the Philadelphia Phillies a 1-0 lead over the Chicago Cubs.
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Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: MARQ
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -187 | +157 | 8 | -113 | -107 | -1.5 | +116 | -138 |
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Cubs 46%
Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 78, or 62.4%, of the 125 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia has entered 43 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 31-12 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 65.2%.
- The Cubs have come away with 38 wins in the 78 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
- The Phillies' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.44 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in OBP, slugging, and hits, getting on base at a rate of .373 while slugging .530 and racking up 155 base hits.
- Among all batters in baseball, Harper is 20th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
- Harper has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit 38 home runs with 102 RBI. Both lead his team.
- Including all MLB hitters, Schwarber is sixth in homers and 11th in RBI.
- Schwarber enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .227 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
- Alec Bohm is hitting .284 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
- Castellanos has 29 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .250.
- Castellanos takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .351 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.
Cubs Recent Betting Performance
- The Cubs have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Cubs are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Cubs Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Cubs Player Insights
- Ian Happ has put up a team-leading 25 home runs and has driven in 86 runs.
- Happ is 35th in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Nico Hoerner is batting .272 with 34 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 44 walks.
- Hoerner ranks 292nd overall in home runs and 185th in RBI this year.
- Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
- Isaac Paredes has 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks while batting .234.
Cubs Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+210) |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 (-155) | 0.5 (-155) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
Bryce Harper smashes a solo homer to center, giving Phillies early lead vs. Cubs
Bryce Harper smashed a solo homer to center and gave the Philadelphia Phillies a 1-0 lead over the Chicago Cubs.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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