Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs take the field against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday at 6:05 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -208 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Cubs +174 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +104 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies highlights on Monday, September 22.
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Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MARQ
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -208 +174 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +104 -125

Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Cubs 46%

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won 78, or 62.4%, of the 125 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia is 19-7 this season when entering a game favored by -208 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Cubs have won in 38, or 48.7%, of the 78 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Oddsmakers have given Chicago the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +174 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 36.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
CHC 6 · PHI 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Phillies have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 13
ERA 4.44
K/9 9.7

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper is outstanding at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he's at the plate. Harper leads the Phillies this season with a .373 OBP, .530 slugging percentage, and 155 base hits.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Harper is 20th in home runs and 28th in RBI.
  • Harper brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Schwarber has shown off his power as he leads his team with 38 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
  • Schwarber is sixth in homers and 11th in RBI in the majors.
  • Schwarber has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .284 with 44 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .250 with 29 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Castellanos brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .351 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+165)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+135)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Cubs and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Cubs are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 12
ERA 3.44
K/9 8.3

Cubs Player Insights

  • Ian Happ paces the Cubs with 25 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 86.
  • Happ ranks 35th in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Hoerner is batting .272 with 34 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 44 walks.
  • Hoerner ranks 292nd in homers and 185th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Cody Bellinger is batting .267 with 23 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Isaac Paredes has 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 75 walks while batting .234.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+190)
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+225)
Ian Happ 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+265)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+165)
Isaac Paredes 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+175)

Cubs vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies highlights on Monday, September 22.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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