Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 16

Updated Oct. 16, 2023 8:01 p.m. ET

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The NLCS begins Monday at 8:07 PM ET when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Arizona Diamondbacks live from Citizens Bank Park, and airing on TBS. The Diamondbacks are listed as +144 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Phillies (-169). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +128 odds). The over/under for the game is listed at 7.5 runs.

The Phillies are projected to give the nod to Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) versus the Diamondbacks and Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, October 16, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 114 times and won 69, or 60.5%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 25 of its 40 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62.8%.
• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 92 games this year and have walked away with the win 46 times (50%) in those games.
• This year, Arizona has won nine of 19 games when listed as at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 3-2 record across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber's 47 home runs in 2023 are the most on the Phillies. He's also driven in 104 runs while hitting .197.
• Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 134th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
• Trea Turner is batting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
• Turner is 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Turner carries a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is hitting .462 with seven doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bryce Harper has a club-leading .293 batting average.
• Harper takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with three home runs, seven walks and five RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .285.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll ranks 46th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker is currently 16th in homers and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .261 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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