Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 17

Updated Oct. 17, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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The NLCS continues on Tuesday when the Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Phillies will look to build on their 1-0 lead in the series when the game begins at 8:07 PM ET on TBS. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -164, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +140 odds to win. Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +130 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this game.

The probable starters are Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) for the Phillies against Merrill Kelly (12-8, 3.29 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 17, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Diamondbacks 45%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 70, or 60.9%, of the 115 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 45 games this season favored by -164 or more and is 29-16 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 62.1% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 93 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (49.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-1 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 47 dingers on the year. He's also hitting .197 with 104 RBI.
• In all of MLB, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
• Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while batting .266.
• Turner is 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Turner has 11 straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .487 with seven doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .274.
• Bryce Harper's .293 batting average paces his team.
• Harper is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with four home runs, six walks and seven RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Diamondbacks had a record of 5-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .285.
• Carroll is 46th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker is currently 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .261 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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