Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Updated Oct. 19, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

Game 3 of the NLCS takes place on Thursday when the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Phillies will look to take a 3-0 lead while the Diamondbacks hope to get back on track with a win at Chase Field, starting at 5:07 PM ET on TBS. The Diamondbacks have been listed as +108 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Phillies (-128). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +122 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9 runs.

The Phillies are set to start Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) against the Diamondbacks and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -128 +108 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +122 -146

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 116 games this season and won 71 (61.2%) of those contests.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 57 of its 84 games, or 67.9%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 46, or 48.9%, of the 94 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 30-36 when favored by +108 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 48.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies won each of the five games it played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
  • The Phillies have put together a 9-1-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 22
ERA 2.25
K/9 9.6

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber's 47 big flies in 2023 are the most on the Phillies. He's also knocked in 104 runs while hitting .197.
  • In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 11th in RBI.
  • Schwarber has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with three home runs, two walks and three RBI.
  • Trea Turner is batting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Turner ranks 38th in home runs in MLB, and 66th in RBI.
  • Turner has 12 straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .514 with seven doubles, three home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .274.
  • Bryce Harper has a club-leading .293 batting average.
  • Harper has recorded at least one hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with four home runs, 11 walks and seven RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+150)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+140)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+160)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-175) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+240) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
  • The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Diamondbacks have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 14
ERA 3.58
K/9 8.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .285.
  • In all of the big leagues, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
  • Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
  • Walker is currently 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+225)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+170)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+185)
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