Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 20

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 20

Updated Oct. 20, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in the fourth game of the NLCS on Friday at 8:07 PM ET, live on TBS from Chase Field. The Diamondbacks will try to tie things up as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. The favored Phillies have -133 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +113. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +120 odds). The total for the matchup is listed at 9.5 runs.

The probable starters are Cristopher Sanchez (3-5, 3.44 ERA) for the Phillies against Joe Mantiply (2-2, 4.62 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, October 20, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -133 +113 9.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +120 -142

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 117 games this season and won 71 (60.7%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 52-26, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.1% chance to win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won in 47, or 49.5%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Arizona has come away with a win 27 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 5-1 record over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 21
ERA 1.43
K/9 9.2

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 47 home runs.
  • Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 11th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Trea Turner is batting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Turner is 38th in homers and 66th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Turner enters this game looking for his 14th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .459 with five doubles, three home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Bohm will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Bryce Harper is hitting .293 to pace his team.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+140)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-130) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+145)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Diamondbacks are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 14
ERA 3.48
K/9 8.4

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .285.
  • In all of the big leagues, Carroll is 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
  • Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
  • Walker is 16th overall in home runs and 12th in RBI this year.
  • Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+180)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+210) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+160)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
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