Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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Game 5 of the NLCS on Saturday will feature the Philadelphia Phillies traveling to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The teams will look to break the 2-2 series deadlock and be a win away from a World Series berth when action begins at 8:07 PM ET on TBS, live from Chase Field. The Phillies are -136 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Diamondbacks (+116). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been listed at 8 runs.

The Phillies are projected to start Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) versus the Diamondbacks and Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 71, or 60.2%, of the 118 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 48-27, a 64% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
• The Diamondbacks have come away with 48 wins in the 96 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 23-30 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Phillies have gone 8-2-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber's 47 big flies in 2023 are the most on the Phillies. He's also driven in 104 runs while hitting .197.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Trea Turner has 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .266.
• Turner is 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI on the season.
• Turner has 14 straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .459 with five doubles, three home runs, five walks and five RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
• Bohm is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .293 to pace his team.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3.
• The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a .285 batting average.
• In all of the big leagues, Carroll is 46th in homers and 66th in RBI.
• Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker is 16th overall in home runs and 12th in RBI this year.
• Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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